Prognostic factors for mortality, ICU, MIS-C and hospital admission due to SARS-CoV-2 in paediatric patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis (preprint)

ABSTRACT Background: There is a paucity of data on the factors associated with severe COVID-19 disease, especially in children. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to identify the risk factors for acute adverse outcomes of COVID-19 within paediatric populations, using the recruitment setting as a proxy of initial disease severity. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed representing published evidence from the start of the pandemic up to 14 February 2022. Our primary outcome was the identification of risk factors for adverse outcomes, stratified by recruitment setting (community, hospital). No geographical restrictions were imposed. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to evaluate the certainty in the body of evidence for each meta-analysis. In anticipation of significant clinical and methodological heterogeneity in the meta-analyses, we fitted logistic regression models with random effects. Findings: Our review identified 47 studies involving 94,210 paediatric cases of COVID-19. Infants up to 3 months were more likely to be hospitalised than older children. Gender and ethnicity were not associated with an increased likelihood of adverse outcomes among children within the community setting. Concerning comorbidities, having at least one pre-existing disease increased the odds of hospitalisation. Concerning BMI, underweight children and severely obese were noted to have an increased likelihood of hospital admission. The presence of metabolic disorders and children with underlying cardiovascular diseases, respiratory disorders, neuromuscular disorders and neurologic conditions were also more likely to be hospitalised. Concerning underlying comorbidities, paediatric hospitalised patients with congenital/genetic disease, those obese, with malignancy, cardiovascular diseases and respiratory disease were associated with higher odds of being admitted to ICU or ventilated. Interpretation: Our findings suggest that age, male, gender, and paediatric comorbidities increased the likelihood of hospital and ICU admission. Obesity, malignancy, and respiratory and cardiovascular disorders were among the most important risk factors for hospital and ICU admission among children with COVID-19. The extent to which these factors were linked to actual severity or where the application of cautious preventive care is an area in which further research is needed.

Prognostic factors for mortality, ICU and hospital admission due to SARS-CoV-2: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies in Europe (preprint)

BackgroundAs mortality from COVID-19 is strongly age-dependent, we aimed to identify population subgroups at an elevated risk for adverse outcomes from COVID-19 using age/gender-adjusted data from European cohort studies with the aim to identify populations that could potentially benefit from booster vaccinations. MethodsWe performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to investigate the role of underlying medical conditions as prognostic factors for adverse outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including death, hospitalisation, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and mechanical ventilation within three separate settings (community, hospital and ICU). Cohort studies that reported at least age and gender-adjusted data from Europe were identified through a search of peer-reviewed articles published until 11th June 2021 in Ovid Medline and Embase. Results are presented as Odds Ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%C.I.) and absolute risk differences (RD) in deaths per 1,000 COVID-19 patients. FindingsWe included 88 cohort studies with age/gender adjusted data from 6,653,207 SARS-CoV-2 patients from Europe. Hospital-based mortality was associated with high and moderate certainty evidence for solid organ tumours, diabetes mellitus, renal disease, arrhythmia, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, and obesity, while a higher risk, albeit with low certainty, was noted for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure. Community-based mortality was associated with a history of heart failure, stroke, diabetes, and end-stage renal disease. Evidence of high/moderate certainty revealed a strong association between hospitalisation for COVID-19 and solid organ transplant recipients, sleep apnoea, diabetes, stroke, and liver disease. InterpretationThe results confirmed the strong association between specific prognostic factors and mortality and hospital admission. Prioritisation of booster vaccinations and the implementation of non-pharmaceutical protective measures for these populations may contribute to a reduction in COVID-19 mortality, ICU and hospital admissions. FundingEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) under specific contract No. 10 ECD.11843 within Framework contract ECDC/2019/001 Lot 1B.

ACTIVATE-2: A DOUBLE-BLIND RANDOMIZED TRIAL OF BCG VACCINATION AGAINST COVID19 IN INDIVIDUALS AT RISK (preprint)

SUMMARY BCG vaccination induces heterologous protection against respiratory tract infections, and in children improves survival independently of tuberculosis prevention. The phase III ACTIVATE-2 study assessed whether BCG could also protect against COVID19 in the elderly. In this double-blind, randomized trial, elderly Greek patients were randomized (1:1) to receive either BCG revaccination or placebo at hospital discharge, followed by 6 months observation for incidence of COVID19 infection. BCG revaccination resulted in 68% risk reduction for total COVID19 clinical and microbiological diagnoses (OR 0.32, 95% CI 0.13-0.79). Five patients in the placebo group and one in the BCG-vaccinated group had severe COVID19 that necessitated hospitalization. 3 months after BCG vaccination 1.3% of placebo and 4.7% of BCG-vaccinated volunteers had anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. These data argue that BCG revaccination is safe and protects the elderly against COVID19. BCG revaccination may represent a viable preventive measure against COVID19.

A novel optical biosensor for the early diagnosis of sepsis and severe COVID-19: the PROUD study (preprint)

Background The accuracy of a new optical biosensor (OB) point-of-care device for the detection of severe infections is studied.Methods The OB emits different wavelengths and outputs information associated with heart rate, pulse oximetry, levels of nitric oxide and kidney function. At the derivation phase, recordings were done every two hours for three consecutive days after hospital admission in 142 patients at high-risk for sepsis by placing the OB on the forefinger. At the validation phase, single recordings were done in 54 patients with symptoms of viral infection; 38 were diagnosed with COVID-19.Results At the derivation phase, the cutoff value of positive likelihood of 18 provided 100% specificity and 100% positive predictive value for the diagnosis of sepsis. These were 87.5% and 91.7% respectively at the validation phase. OB diagnosed severe COVID-19 with 83.3% sensitivity and 87.5% negative predictive value.Conclusions The studied OB seems valuable for the discrimination of infection severity.